The Complexity of Disorder in India

The Complexity of Disorder in India

As India celebrated its 72nd Independence Day on 15 August 2018, the country continues to face multiple and complex challenges. Disorder—including political violence and protests—is increasingly multidimensional, complex, and evolving (OECD, 2016; United Nations & World Bank, 2018). Multiple types

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in Yemen:
A Continued Threat?

Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in Yemen: <br/> A Continued Threat?

As pressure from UAE-backed troops and US airstrikes has increased over the past two years, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) fighters have found themselves engaged on multiple fronts, weakening their ability to control and manage territory. While AQAP

How Lebanon’s Disengagement from the Syrian Civil War Changed Violence in the Country

How Lebanon’s Disengagement from the Syrian Civil War Changed Violence in the Country

The 2017 Qalamoun offensive (see here for more on this topic) disengaged Lebanese territory from the Syrian Civil War resulting in greater stability in Lebanon. This can be seen in the overall reduction in the number of political violence events

Will the Military’s Focus on the Fulani Threat Allow for a Resurgence of Boko Haram?

Will the Military’s Focus on the Fulani Threat Allow for a Resurgence of Boko Haram?

On 4 February, the Nigerian government declared that it had defeated Boko Haram (see ACLED, 12 April 2018 for further detail). However, although air and land forces continue to conduct successful raids against the remaining Boko Haram positions in the

The Islamic State in Yemen

The Islamic State in Yemen

Since its formation in November 2014, the Yemeni branch of the Islamic State (IS) has undergone major changes in its organisation and tactics. Thanks to a more radical stance that has attracted several fighters from the Salafist movement and Al-Qaeda

Regional Overview – Asia
02 July 2018

Regional Overview – Asia <br/> 02 July 2018

Last week was marked by major protests in Afghanistan, ongoing election turmoil in Pakistan, and militant violence in Indonesia. In Afghanistan, following the end of the ceasefire, levels of political violence further increased by 20% compared to the previous week,

Reclaiming the South: The New Regime Offensive

Reclaiming the South: The New Regime Offensive

Over the past several weeks, in the face of stalled negotiations with rebels and regional and international powers, Syrian regime and allied forces have been amassing along the northern edge of the largely rebel-held ceasefire zone in southwest Syria. This

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