While there was an increase in the number of reported events in several countries in the Middle East last week, including in Palestine, Syria, and Turkey, this was contrasted by a slight decrease in the number of political violence and protest events recorded across much of the rest of the region.

In Palestine, the recent announcement that the United States would relocate its embassy in Israel to Jerusalem in May has resulted in a rise in the number of demonstrations, including rioting resulting in fatalities. Meanwhile, an intensification of the siege in Eastern Ghouta occurred this week in Syria, with almost 20% of all violent events reported in the country occurring in this rebel stronghold as both Syrian military and allied forces expanded their strikes within the enclave. Elsewhere in the country Turkish and Syrian forces, along with their allies, clashed in the Afrin region. This followed a deal between Kurdish forces in Afrin and the Syrian government to work together to repel the Turkish offensive. There was also a rise in the number of reported political violence events in Turkey this week, with several battles occurring between Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militants and Turkish security forces and over 50 reported fatalities, making it the deadliest week in the country so far in 2018.

The number of reported events dropped slightly in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Yemen, while in Iran the number of protest events specifically decreased. In Iran’s case, while protest events decreased, this week witnessed a more violent demonstration between members of a Sufi sect and Iranian security forces in Tehran, which ultimately resulted in the killing of 5 members of the security forces after they were rammed by a car. Significant fighting meanwhile continued in Yemen along the frontlines of its civil war, although the drop in the number of political violence events across the country as a whole may be attributed to ongoing efforts in Oman to reach a peace deal.

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Regional Overview – Middle East
26 February 2018
Matt Batten-Carew
Matt Batten-Carew
Middle East Research Manager
Matthew Batten-Carew is a Middle East Research Manager with ACLED. He leads the Afghanistan, Iraq and Turkey projects, and was formerly Associate Manager with ACLED's Asia project. Mr. Batten-Carew holds an M.A. in Geopolitics & Grand Strategy and a second M.A. in Eurasian Studies, with research focusing on regional governance and conflict management. He has worked for the Canadian government's Departments of Global Affairs and National Defence, and for consulting firms in policy development and political risk analysis. He is fluent in English and French, and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
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